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    The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

    £11.69
    £12.99
    Price-Match is available in-store for recommended titles in CCCU module handbooks
    ISBN: 9780141034591
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    Attribute nameAttribute value
    AuthorTaleb, Nassim Nicholas
    Pub Date28/02/2008
    BindingPaperback
    Pages480
    Publisher: Penguin Books
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    What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.

    The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

    What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

    This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

    'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

    'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent